The potential of former President Donald Trump selecting Senator Marco Rubio of Florida or Senator JD Vance of Ohio as his running mate raises complicated political issues due to the roles their respective governors would play in appointing their successors. If Rubio is chosen, Governor Ron DeSantis would select his replacement, while Governor Mike DeWine would pick a new senator if Vance is selected. Both DeSantis and DeWine have had contentious relationships with Trump, leading to speculation about whether the replacements they choose would meet the strict standards of the MAGA movement. While the succession dynamic may not eliminate Rubio’s or Vance’s chances, it is a topic of discussion in both states.
A scenario could arise in Florida where Rubio would resign from the Senate immediately upon being chosen by Trump, triggering a special election for the seat, potentially limiting DeSantis’ influence over the pick. In Ohio, DeWine may face pressure to select a candidate who is agreeable to both traditional Republicans and MAGA supporters if Vance were to vacate his seat. The selection process for Trump’s running mate has been secretive, with detailed vetting questionnaires yet to be distributed, and a decision not expected until closer to the Republican National Convention in July.
If Vance were chosen as Trump’s running mate, his successor would be selected by DeWine, who has had a turbulent relationship with Trump and his base due to COVID-19 policies and endorsements in the GOP Senate primary. DeWine’s choice for the Senate vacancy would be crucial, as he would aim to select a candidate who could win re-election and be accepted by both traditional Republicans and Trump supporters. Potential appointees mentioned by Ohio Republican insiders include Secretary of State Frank LaRose, former state GOP chair Jane Timken, and former state Supreme Court Justice Judi French, among others.
In Florida, if DeSantis were to appoint Rubio’s replacement, potential candidates include his wife, Casey, his chief of staff, James Uthmeier, or former state House Speaker Jose Oliva, according to sources. Another option could be for DeSantis to appoint himself to the seat. DeSantis and Trump’s relationship has been tumultuous, with public clashes and mistrust, despite recent efforts to project a renewed alliance. Trump has endorsed DeSantis in the past but openly criticized him during the 2024 presidential nomination race.
The selection of running mates and the subsequent appointments of their successors by DeSantis and DeWine could have significant implications for the political landscape in Florida and Ohio. Both governors will face pressure to choose candidates who align with the priorities and standards of the MAGA movement while also appealing to traditional Republican voters. The decisions made in the event of a Senate vacancy could impact the outcomes of future elections and shape the trajectory of the Republican Party in these crucial swing states.
