Former President Donald Trump has surged ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona, a crucial battleground state that could determine the outcome of the next presidential election. A new Fox News poll released on Thursday shows Trump leading Harris by 3 percentage points among likely voters. This shift comes after Harris had been ahead by 1 point in a previous version of the poll. The poll also revealed significant changes in key demographics, including a shrinking lead for Harris among Hispanic voters and women voters.
One of the most surprising findings of the poll was a massive 25-point shift in favor of Trump among Arizona voters under 30 years old. In the new poll, Trump leads this demographic by 12 points, compared to Harris’s 13-point lead in the previous edition. The poll, which was conducted over the phone and online among 1,021 registered voters in Arizona from September 20 to September 24, has a margin of error of 3 percent among registered voters and 3.5 percent among likely voters. Both the Trump and Harris campaigns were contacted for comment on the poll results, but neither responded.
The same Fox News poll also showed Trump-backed Republican Arizona Senate candidate Kari Lake trailing behind Democratic candidate Ruben Gallego by a wide margin. Gallego, a U.S. congressman, was leading Lake by 14 points among registered voters and 13 points among likely voters. Despite these poll results, Lake has dismissed them as “garbage.” Other polls released over the past week have shown Trump gaining ground in Arizona, although a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll found that Harris held a 3-point lead over the former president. Overall, the polling data suggests a close race in Arizona, with an average of recent polls showing Trump leading Harris by just 0.8 percent.
Arizona has become a crucial state in presidential elections, with Biden narrowly defeating Trump in 2020. The state has a history of swinging back and forth between Republican and Democratic candidates, with no Democrat beating a Republican presidential candidate in Arizona since Bill Clinton in 1996. Given Arizona’s status as a battleground state, the current polling data indicates that the upcoming presidential election could be closely contested. With Trump’s resurgence in the polls, the race between him and Harris in Arizona remains neck-and-neck, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.
