In a recent Fox News poll, former President Donald Trump is shown leading current President Joe Biden by a narrow margin in the 2024 White House race. In a head-to-head rematch of the 2020 election, Trump leads Biden 49% to 48%. Trump also maintains a lead in a hypothetical five-way race, leading Biden by a 3-point margin of 43% to 40%.
While Trump’s numbers remain higher than Biden’s, the current president has seen an improvement in his poll numbers since the last Fox News national poll. In March, Biden trailed Trump by five points in both head-to-head and with third-party candidates included, but has since seen an increase in support among black voters and has achieved his highest approval rating since January 2023.
Biden’s approval rating stands at 45%, representing a 4-point increase from March. However, when voters were asked about specific issues, Biden’s approval numbers dipped. Approval ratings were lower on handling of the economy, inflation, border security, and the Israel-Hamas war. Voters trusted Biden more on issues such as abortion, healthcare, and election integrity, while Trump held an advantage on issues related to crime, immigration, foreign policy, and the economy.
In terms of third-party candidates in the race, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., led with 11% support, followed by Cornel West and Jill Stein both receiving 2% each. Kennedy was able to draw support equally from backers of both Biden and Trump in a two-way race, while Stein and West primarily gained support from those who would have otherwise supported Biden. The poll surveyed 1,126 registered voters between May 10 and May 13, with a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
Overall, the Fox News poll reveals a tight race between Trump and Biden for the 2024 White House race. While Trump currently maintains a slight lead, Biden has seen improvements in his numbers among black voters and in his overall approval rating. The survey also highlights differences in voter trust regarding specific policy issues, with Biden favored on certain issues like healthcare while Trump is preferred on topics such as the economy and foreign policy. With third-party candidates also in the mix, the race remains competitive as the country looks ahead to the next presidential election.
