The latest Atlanta Journal-Constitution survey suggests that Kamala Harris may struggle to connect with male voters in Georgia, potentially affecting her chances of winning the crucial southern swing state. The survey of 1,000 likely voters found that only 28% of men support Harris, compared to 59% who back Donald Trump. This significant gap in support among men is contributing to Trump’s lead over Harris in the state overall.
While the gender gap is narrower among women, Harris still leads with 55% support compared to 37% for Trump. However, this margin only partially offsets Trump’s overall lead in the state. Trump is leading among all age groups except for 30- to 44-year-olds, where Harris has a 10-point advantage. Additionally, Trump has near-supermajority support from white voters, with 66% backing him compared to 28% supporting Harris.
Although Harris leads among black voters in the survey, with 74% support compared to 8% for Trump and 18% undecided, there is some uncertainty among this key Democratic constituency. In September’s survey, Harris had a larger lead among black voters, suggesting that she may have failed to solidify her support within this group. Additionally, there is some concern about whether Democrats will turn out to vote for Harris, as 11% of Democrats are still undecided, compared to 95% of Republicans backing Trump.
The survey also indicates that Republican VP nominee J.D. Vance is gaining support in the state, with 41% approval compared to 39% disapproval. This strong showing for Vance contrasts with Democrat Tim Walz’s narrower margin of 38% favorability and 40% unfavorability. Overall, the survey suggests that Trump has a slight edge in Georgia, with 41% of respondents believing he is likely to win in November, compared to 39% who think Harris will come out on top.
In conclusion, the data from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution survey highlights the challenges Kamala Harris may face in Georgia regarding the gender gap and support among key demographics. While she leads among women and black voters, her lower approval among men and uncertainty among Democrats may impact her chances in the state. Additionally, Trump’s strong support among white voters and across age groups could give him an advantage in the upcoming election. Republicans, particularly J.D. Vance, are also making gains in the state, further complicating Harris’ path to victory. Ultimately, the survey suggests that Harris may need to make efforts to connect with male voters and solidify her support among Democrats to improve her chances in Georgia.
