The most recent national poll by Quinnipiac University shows that President Biden and former President Trump are nearly tied among registered voters, with Biden at 48% and Trump at 47%. In a hypothetical five-candidate race, including Robert F. Kennedy, Jill Stein, and Cornel West, Biden would have 41% support, while Trump would have 38%. However, 19% of those surveyed said they could still change their minds about their choice for president, with 15% of Biden supporters and 8% of Trump supporters open to changing their vote. A significant portion of Kennedy voters, 52%, also said they might change their minds.
While national polls show a close race between Biden and Trump, the battle for the White House ultimately depends on state-level results and electoral votes. Trump has been polling slightly ahead in key battleground states, giving him an edge as the election approaches. The first presidential debate is set to take place on June 27 in Atlanta, Georgia, and 72% of those surveyed said they were likely to watch the debate. Additionally, the survey found that seven in 10 respondents were closely following news of Trump’s criminal trial involving allegations of falsifying business records related to payments to Stormy Daniels during the 2016 election.
Trump has denied the charges against him in the criminal trial, which involves payments to Daniels to keep quiet about an alleged affair in 2006. Both Cohen and Daniels testified for the prosecution, while Trump’s attorneys challenged their credibility during cross-examination. The former president has accused the trial of being a “SHAM,” orchestrated by the White House and Department of Justice. The poll found that 60% of respondents consider the charges against Trump to be either very or somewhat serious, while 36% do not view them as serious.
The Quinnipiac University poll, conducted from May 16-20, surveyed 1,374 self-identified registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points. The findings suggest that the race between Biden and Trump remains tight, with both candidates having a sizable portion of undecided voters and potential for change in support. As the election approaches, the focus will shift to battleground states and their electoral votes, where Trump currently holds a slight edge in recent polls. The first presidential debate, set for late June, is expected to draw a large audience as voters continue to closely follow the candidates and the issues at hand.
