Top officials for former President Donald Trump’s campaign believe they can win Democratic strongholds Minnesota and Virginia in the November election, according to presentations delivered at a Republican National Committee retreat in Palm Beach, Florida. Pollster Tony Fabrizio showed Trump ahead of President Joe Biden in key swing states from 2020, including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia. The Trump camp discussed expanding the electoral map to include states like Minnesota and Virginia, while Biden’s team looks at North Carolina and Florida as potential targets.
Despite some public surveys showing Biden with a small edge in Virginia and Trump leading in Minnesota, all polls and trials fall within margins of error, indicating close races in both states. Trump’s team tested various race scenarios in each state and found that in Minnesota, Trump and Biden were tied at 40% in a six-way trial, with Trump leading in a four-way race and head-to-head matchup. In Virginia, Biden led Trump in a six-way test, head-to-head matchup, and a four-way race, but the margins were narrow.
Trump’s aides declined to share the full surveys with NBC News, citing the use of playing offense on new turf as a strategy to encourage donor support. Biden’s campaign responded by criticizing Trump’s lack of campaign infrastructure and the focus on leaked memos claiming victory in polls without sharing complete data. The Biden campaign highlighted their presence in key battleground states with offices and staff, contrasting with the Trump team’s legal battles and golf course appearances.
The discussion of flipping Minnesota and Virginia comes as both campaigns strategize on expanding their electoral map to secure victories in the November election. While Trump’s team sees potential in states traditionally Democratic, like Virginia and Minnesota, Biden’s campaign is targeting Republican strongholds like North Carolina and Florida. The internal polling from Trump’s campaign shows tight races, but the results are still within margins of error, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
The battle for key swing states from the 2020 election, including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia, remains crucial in determining the outcome of the 2024 election. The Trump campaign’s strategy of focusing on these states and potentially flipping Democratic strongholds is part of their plan to secure victory in November. Meanwhile, Biden’s team continues to target states like North Carolina and Florida to broaden their electoral map and secure re-election for the President.
The contrasting strategies of the two campaigns reflect their efforts to secure key battleground states and expand their electoral map. While Trump’s team sees an opportunity in flipping states like Minnesota and Virginia, Biden’s campaign is focusing on Republican strongholds like North Carolina and Florida. The internal polling presented at the Republican National Committee retreat in Palm Beach highlights the close races in these key states and the importance of the electoral map in determining the outcome of the election.
