Last week, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu took part in the Victory Day parade in his last inspection before being replaced by President Vladimir Putin. The replacement, Andrei Belousov, an economics expert with no military background, was seen as a move to tighten control over military spending and align the defense sector with the struggling economy due to Western sanctions. Shoigu’s tenure seemed to be in jeopardy during the invasion of Ukraine as he faced criticism for battlefield setbacks and hasty retreats. The mysterious death of a Russian mercenary chief who called for Shoigu’s removal raised questions about his position.
Despite facing challenges, Shoigu received a soft landing with a new role heading the presidential Security Council, reflecting Putin’s aversion to firing under pressure. The appointment of an economist like Belousov as Defense Minister signifies a focus on managing military expenses amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Belousov’s experience in economic policies and state controls aligns with Putin’s conservative values, with a history of supporting controversial decisions like the annexation of Crimea in 2014.
The Kremlin’s choice of Belousov sparked confusion among observers, but it was explained that General Valery Gerasimov, chief of the General Staff, directs military operations in Ukraine, while the Defense Minister oversees logistical aspects. Some analysts believe that Belousov’s appointment could lead to the purging of Shoigu’s top associates and a push for modernization within the defense industry. Putin’s motive in reshuffling the Defense Ministry is seen as an effort to combat corruption within the military leadership and streamline decision-making processes during the conflict.
As the war in Ukraine continues, the appointment of Belousov as Defense Minister indicates a strategic shift towards economic mobilization and preparation for a prolonged conflict. The integration of military and economic policies under Belousov’s leadership suggests a focus on sustaining military spending and stimulating demand through budget allocations. The reshuffle in the Defense Ministry reflects Putin’s commitment to girding for a long war in Ukraine and ensuring that the military is well-equipped to handle the ongoing challenges and uncertainties.
