The House GOP conference is currently in a state of uncertainty regarding Speaker Mike Johnson’s position, prompting discussions about potential replacements within the party. While no immediate challenge is being made to Johnson, many Republicans are quietly positioning themselves for future leadership shakeups. Among those being watched closely are House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, who has taken steps to repair his relationship with Donald Trump and win over skeptical House Republicans. Emmer’s efforts have included supporting a House Freedom Caucus-backed amendment and attending events with Trump.
There are other potential contenders for the speaker’s position in the next Congress, including House Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, and House GOP Conference Chair Elise Stefanik. However, the GOP’s inability to unite behind a successor and Democrats signaling their willingness to support Johnson are currently working in his favor in this Congress. The uncertainty surrounding Johnson’s long-term future stems from conversations among Republicans about his ability to maintain his position, especially as some speculate that he may not have the support needed in the next Congress.
Emmer’s efforts to repair his relationship with Trump after a failed speakership bid have been successful, with Trump endorsing Emmer’s reelection and praising his leadership. Emmer has also been building relationships with conservative hardliners in the House and strengthening his campaign funds in preparation for any future leadership bid. Despite threats to Johnson’s speakership, Emmer has expressed support for him and focused on the legislative agenda instead of succumbing to the drama surrounding Johnson’s position.
Johnson, on the other hand, has been working to shore up his support from Trump in response to threats from vocal Trump ally Marjorie Taylor Greene. Johnson’s efforts have included joint press conferences on election integrity at Mar-a-Lago and keeping Trump informed about his legislative plans. Trump has indicated his support for Johnson and disinterest in another messy speaker fight, fearing it could hurt Republicans in the upcoming elections. Internal divisions within the GOP have caused friction, with some members calling for unity behind Johnson and criticizing distractions that could harm the party’s prospects in 2024.
Despite challenges to Johnson’s position, many Republicans are hesitant to push for his removal without a clear alternative lined up, recalling the turmoil that followed McCarthy’s ousting. The scars from the protracted speakership fight are still fresh, leading some GOP members to caution against unnecessary disruptions that could hinder the party’s goals. Jordan emphasized the importance of unity behind Johnson to avoid the chaos of previous leadership struggles. Overall, the House GOP conference is facing uncertainty and internal tensions as discussions about potential leadership changes continue.
