A recent poll conducted by The Post has found that Vice President Kamala Harris is currently leading former President Donald Trump by four percentage points among likely US voters. This margin has remained stable since the group’s previous poll in August. However, when asked who is “most ready to lead” on Inauguration Day 2025, the Republican candidate is preferred over the Democratic candidate, 51% to 49%.
While Harris is supported by majorities of likely voters in the younger age groups and by most women, Trump continues to have the support of voters above the age of 55 and most men. Interestingly, when it comes to key issues such as inflation, jobs, and immigration, likely voters overwhelmingly prefer Trump to Harris. For example, on inflation, 54% favor Trump’s leadership compared to 46% for Harris. Similarly, on jobs and the economy, 57% believe Trump would handle the problem better than Harris.
Despite these preferences on key issues, Harris is seen as reasonable, honest, likely to unite the country, and a strong leader by majorities of voters. They believe she would do a better job handling a variety of other important issues such as gun control, civil rights, public schools, healthcare affordability, poverty, hunger, homelessness, and climate change. Additionally, she scored the highest marks among likely voters concerned about access to abortion.
In terms of favorability among the candidates, Harris and her vice presidential pick, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, received higher ratings than their Republican opponents. While at least 44% had a favorable opinion of Harris, 41% favored Trump. Similarly, 36% viewed Walz favorably compared to 25% for Republican vice presidential candidate Senator JD Vance. Trump also had the highest unfavorable rating among the four candidates, with 50% having a negative view of him.
When asked who voters believe would win the 2024 election, Harris was favored by 40% compared to 39% for Trump, with 19% undecided and 2% choosing someone else. Additionally, more voters expressed concerns if Trump were to win back the White House, with 43% sharing this sentiment compared to 34% for Harris. The Leger poll was conducted online from September 27 to 29 and surveyed 1,010 US adults with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.08%.