Republicans are fighting to maintain their slim majority in the House as the midterms approach, with key races to watch in November. Rep. Lauren Boebert, facing multiple GOP challengers, plans to run for a new district in Colorado after narrowly winning her current seat in 2022. Rep. Marcy Kaptur in Ohio and Rep. David Schweikert in Arizona are also facing tough challenges, with their districts becoming more Republican-leaning. In Nebraska, Rep. Don Bacon is gearing up for a rematch in a toss-up district, while Michigan and New York are seeing open seats vulnerable to GOP flips.
In California, four seats may be flipped in November, with both Republican and Democratic-held districts at risk. In North Carolina, three seats could turn red under new district lines, while Louisiana is likely to see a Democrat defeat Republican Rep. Garret Graves due to redistricting. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates 212 seats as safe, likely, or leaning Republican, compared to 206 for Democrats. The Cook Political Report shows 203 seats solid, likely, or leaning Democratic, and 210 solid, likely, or leaning Republican.
The House has been in a state of chaos during the 118th session of Congress, with far-right lawmakers blocking Democratic legislation and pushing their own agenda. Key developments include opening an impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden, impeaching Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, and blocking budget passage. Down-ballot races are expected to reflect Americans’ feelings about Trump and Biden, with both parties seeking to capitalize on negativity towards the presidential candidates.
Turmoil in the House has led to the resignations of multiple GOP members, as well as the ousting of former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. The GOP’s majority will be narrowed to just one seat following the resignations and expulsion of several members. The outcome of the midterms will shape the future direction of the House, with Republicans aiming to hold on to their majority while Democrats seek to regain control.Overall, key races to watch in November will be crucial in determining the balance of power in the House and the direction of national politics.
