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Home»Elections
Elections

Analysis of the Final Presidential Primaries and Caucuses in 2024: Predictions and Expectations

June 4, 2024No Comments2 Mins Read
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The 2024 presidential primary season is coming to a close, with only a handful of primaries left to be held on Tuesday and two Democratic caucuses on June 8. President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have been dominating the primaries since securing their parties’ nominations on March 12, but both have faced protest votes in some contests along the way. Trump is facing his first primaries since being convicted of felony crimes in New York, while Biden is facing organized campaigns in multiple states to vote for “uncommitted” in protest of the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza.

Key races on Tuesday include the Republican primary to challenge Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester in Montana and primaries to replace scandal-plagued Democratic U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez in New Jersey. A total of 216 delegates are at stake for Democrats on Tuesday, while Republicans have 12 delegates up for grabs. The upcoming contests include presidential primaries in Washington, D.C., Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota, as well as state and local primaries in several states. Guam and the U.S. Virgin Islands will hold Democratic caucuses on June 8.

Each state has its own rules regarding who can vote in the primaries and how results will be reported. For example, in Washington, D.C., only voters registered with a party may participate in that party’s primary, while in Iowa, any voter may register or change their party affiliation on the day of the primary. The results from each primary will be reported throughout the night, with the final update expected by early morning. Guam and the Virgin Islands will also have Democratic caucuses on June 8, with results being updated in the Delegate Tracker.

As the primary season comes to a close, both parties are gearing up for the national conventions and the November general election. The Republican National Convention in Milwaukee is set to take place in 41 days, while the Democratic National Convention in Chicago will follow in 76 days. Overall, there are 154 days until the November general election, where the battle between Biden and Trump will culminate. The final results from the remaining primaries will have an impact on delegate counts and momentum leading up to the conventions.

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