The U.S.-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW) assessed on April 21 that Ukraine will likely be able to curtail the effects of a renewed Russian offensive if anticipated U.S. military aid arrives promptly. The ISW expects Russia’s intensified attacks to continue in the coming weeks ahead of the anticipated arrival of resumed U.S. military aid, but notes that the aid must be delivered quickly to quell the expected offensive. Ukrainian officials have warned of a potential Russian offensive starting in June, targeting key objectives in Donetsk Oblast. The U.S. Congress approved a $61 billion aid package on April 20 to support Ukraine, with President Joe Biden promising to quickly sign the bill into law once approved by the Senate.

The ISW report highlights the need for prompt U.S. military aid to Ukraine in order to blunt the current Russian offensive. Senator Mark Warner stated that the United States could begin transferring long-range Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) to Ukraine by the end of the week, indicating a proactive approach to supporting Ukraine in its defense against Russian aggression. The Pentagon has reportedly prepared shipments of weapons and equipment in anticipation of the aid package passing, addressing Ukraine’s urgent need for assistance amid dwindling air defenses and ammunition on the battlefield.

For months, Ukraine had been calling for the much-needed aid from the U.S. as it faced increased Russian attacks on critical infrastructure. The approval of the aid package by the U.S. House on April 20 was met with relief in Kyiv, but the next steps involve the aid package being approved by the U.S. Senate. The aid is crucial for Ukraine’s defense capabilities and ability to withstand a potential renewed Russian offensive. With the promise of quick approval and implementation of the aid package, Ukraine can better prepare to defend itself against Russian aggression and protect its territorial integrity.

The impending threat of a renewed Russian offensive in Ukraine highlights the urgency of delivering military aid to the country. The ISW’s assessment underscores the importance of timely assistance from the U.S. in order to bolster Ukraine’s defense against Russian attacks. The anticipated delivery of weapons and equipment, including ATACMS, signifies a commitment from the U.S. to support Ukraine in its efforts to resist Russian aggression and maintain its sovereignty. The aid package approval by the U.S. Congress reflects a recognition of the strategic importance of supporting Ukraine in its defense against external threats.

The expected arrival of U.S. military aid is crucial for Ukraine’s ability to maintain its defenses and deter potential Russian attacks. The intensification of Russian offensives in the coming weeks underscores the pressing need for prompt assistance from the U.S. to strengthen Ukraine’s military capabilities. As Ukraine prepares for a potential offensive in June, the timely delivery of weapons and equipment will be essential in enabling the country to protect its territorial integrity and resist further Russian aggression. The ongoing support from the U.S. signals a commitment to bolstering Ukraine’s defense capabilities and ensuring its security in the face of external threats.

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