Former President Donald Trump believes he has a strong chance of winning Minnesota in the 2024 presidential election, hoping to break the Republican losing streak in the reliably blue state. He will headline the Minnesota GOP’s annual fundraising dinner, emphasizing his connections and friendships in the state. Tom Emmer, House majority whip, is involved in leading the Trump campaign in Minnesota, despite their past differences. Both the Trump and Biden campaigns are eyeing opportunities to expand the electoral map in key swing states that decided the 2020 election.

Internal surveys presented to Republican National Committee donors suggest that Minnesota and Virginia are in play for Trump, with potential to flip key electoral votes in his favor due to a sizable rural white voter demographic without college degrees. However, the Biden campaign does not see these states as up for grabs and believes that their strong coalition in both Minnesota and Virginia will continue to be a driving force in the election. Democratic Rep. Dean Phillips of Minnesota acknowledges that the state is in play and urges his fellow Democrats to recognize the reality and put in the necessary work ahead of the election.

Trump’s campaign is also looking to expand its reach in swing state North Carolina as well as Florida, where he carried the state by a narrow margin in 2020. Despite the Biden campaign’s confidence in their fundraising and ground-game advantage, Trump’s team sees opportunities to leverage support among key demographics in these states. The former president aims to expand the electoral map in states where Republicans have not been competitive in recent elections, such as New Jersey, where he recently held a rally and expressed confidence in his chances of winning the state.

As both campaigns gear up for the 2024 election, there is a focus on key swing states that will play a crucial role in determining the outcome. Trump’s optimism about his chances in Minnesota is met with skepticism from the Biden campaign, which remains steadfast in their belief that their coalition will secure victory. Despite past electoral trends and challenges, both campaigns are actively engaging voters and strategizing to secure support in states where the margin of victory will be closely contested. The upcoming election promises to be closely fought, with both campaigns aiming to capitalize on opportunities to sway crucial swing state voters in their favor.

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