The Biden administration is dismissing Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s claims of a planned ground offensive into Rafah as a tactic stemming from his precarious political situation. Despite Netanyahu’s assertions, senior administration officials have stated that no specific date has been shared with them for such an operation. They view Netanyahu’s statements as largely bravado, as he continues to grapple with the pressures of reaching a ceasefire while still aiming to eliminate Hamas and free Israeli hostages in Rafah.

Netanyahu’s political future is also uncertain, as he faces potential fracturing of his far-right coalition once the current conflict in Gaza ends. American officials have pushed back against Netanyahu’s plans for Rafah, highlighting the lack of a comprehensive plan from the Israelis on how to conduct such an operation and ensure the safe evacuation of civilians. Both Secretary of State Antony Blinken and National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan have stated that they have not been informed of any imminent ground offensive in Rafah.

In a call with US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant discussed preparations for a potential invasion of Rafah but did not indicate a specific date for the operation. Biden remains mindful of Netanyahu’s political challenges and the influence of his ultra-conservative government, but US officials have been cautious in publicly commenting on Israeli politics during the conflict. Despite private criticisms of Israel’s government, Biden and his team have largely refrained from openly criticizing Netanyahu or his administration.

During recent discussions with Israeli officials, top Biden national security officials raised concerns about the logistics of evacuating civilians from Rafah in the event of an offensive. Israeli officials did not provide comprehensive answers to these questions, prompting further follow-up discussions between the two sides. Israeli officials argued that not entering Rafah would nullify efforts to root out Hamas in the area and prevent them from rebuilding their forces.

Overall, the Biden administration remains skeptical of Netanyahu’s claims of a planned ground offensive in Rafah, citing a lack of communication regarding any specific date for such an operation. With Netanyahu navigating the delicate balance of domestic politics and international pressure, the US continues to monitor the situation closely and engage in discussions with Israeli officials on the potential operation. The conflict between Israel and Hamas remains complex and fraught with challenges, and the involvement of the US and its diplomatic efforts are crucial in seeking a resolution to the ongoing violence.

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